The National Association of Realtors (NAR) has recently released its economic forecast. NAR acknowledges a 4.8% decrease in sales of existing homes nationally in 2010, but reportedly expects a 7.9% rise in 2011, growing another 4.5% in 2012. After a 12.9% drop in the median sales price in 2009, the Nation did see a slight rise of .3% in 2010. Again the National Association of Realtor (NAR) expects the median home price to rise .5% this year and another 2.4% in 2012.
The sale of new residential homes is expected to rebound faster than those of resold homes. New construction is expected to see a 17.7% increase in sales in 2011 after experiencing a 15.5% drop in 2010. It is anticipated that the sale on newly constructed homes would climb up to 30.9% in 2012. That said the forecast predicts that the new-home median price will climb 1.8% this year after seeing a 2.2% increase in 2010.
NAR reported that the average 30-year-fixed mortgage rate averaged at 4.7 % in 2010, and is expecting them to gradually rise to an average of 5.1% in 2011 and 5.9% in 2012. The economic Forecast also cited that they expect the U.S. unemployment rate to fall from 9.7% in 2010 to 9.4% in 2011 and 8.7% in 2012. I don’t have a crystal ball, but I hope that this economic forecast is reliable. We are seeing stable real estate markets nationwide and I suspect that Eugene and the rest of Oregon are not too far behind.